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SB LVI Picks with NWB (Part 2)

This is the second part of two posts for Super Bowl 56 betting markets, with help from our partner, Sports Interaction. As always, if you choose to gamble, make sure that you gamble responsibly. This one is more player-focused than my first installment, so let's get right into it.

 
Matthew Stafford under 0.5 total interceptions @ $2.15 (+115)

If Jaquiski Tartt had more receptive hands in the NFC Championship Game, this would be a column about the Niners and Bengals. Anyway, Stafford and Sean McVay have had two weeks to prepare for this one and there will be less propensity for making risky throws in this one. The LA defense should set the table for a less stressful gamescript too. There will be turnovers in this game, but I don't expect Matthew Stafford to be throwing any.


Odell Beckham Jr over 5.5 total receptions @ $2.15 (+115)

By the time kick off rolls around, we will have received the confirmation that Tyler Higbee is out for the Super Bowl - a blow for the Rams passing game. Enter OBJ, who has seen his involvement in the offense increase since he arrived on the West Coast. The Cincinnati secondary can contain one of OBJ or Cooper Kupp, but not both. When either receiver lines up on cornerback Eli Apple, look for them catch and run for some yards. OBJ will get at least half a dozen catches on Super Bowl Sunday, as he embraces the bright lights.


Cooper Kupp over 8.5 total receptions @ $2.00 (+100)

Kupp has had a historic season at wide receiver, wining the Triple Crown (most catches, receiving yards and TDs) in the regular season. Kupp has also been able to surpass this number on many occasions in 2021. Even with double coverages, there is no reason why he won't get to nine catches or more once again in the big game. Kupp is a reasonable shot to win the MVP award too.


Samaje Perine to have more receiving yards than Cam Akers @ $2.05 (+105)

Some people seem to be forgetting that Cam Akers has made a remarkable comeback from an Achilles injury at the beginning of the season. Akers is still being managed to an extent, and the Rams confirmed this when they talked up Darrell Henderson over the last week. Sony Michel has Super Bowl experience too with the Patriots. In any case, the Rams project to be leading more than chasing in this one. As you'll see below, this sets up as a Perine game in the receiving stakes.

Jordan Poyer
Perine on the run in the AFC Championship game
Samaje Perine total receptions over 1.5 @ $2.05 (+105)

The Bengals have been scrapping throughout the postseason, using the air and ground to keep up with the opposition. When they fall behind, they deploy wide receivers, tight ends and running backs to get back in the game. Joe Mixon is the primary running back for Cincinnati but Samaje Perine is also well versed in catching during "hurry up mode", from his time in Washington. Catching two passes seems like a solid value play for bettors.


Tee Higgins over 5.5 total receptions @ $2.00 (+100)

Much of the hype around this match has centred around JaMarr Chase going up against Jalen Ramsey. To be fair, Ramsey will be spending time all over the field, in addition to running with Chase on the perimeter. Nevertheless, Higgins and the rest of the offense will be freed up against the ancillary cornerbacks from the Rams. CB Darious Williams has had his moments as a lightning rod for quarterbacks and Joe Burrow will be looking for receivers on him all night.


Aaron Donald to win the Super Bowl MVP @ $15.00 (+1400)

I am well aware that the Super Bowl MVP has been a quarterback-centric award over time. However, Donald is the best player on the field on either side and he will be in the frame if he can get 2+ sacks and the Rams win. He likely would have won this award if the Rams had won in their last Super Bowl appearance against the Patriots. On the micro, seeing T.J. Watt win the regular season Defensive Player of the Year award only serves a more motivation for the defensive dynamo.

Van Jefferson to have more receiving yards than Tyler Boyd @ $2.00 (+100)

With Higbee missing out and the Bengals devoting attention to Kupp and OBJ, Van Jefferson could be set for a big day on the big stage. Further, with C.J. Uzomah almost certain to play through the pain of a lingering injury, target share will be diluted for Tyler Boyd across the middle. If Uzomah is ruled out for the Super Bowl eject out of this play, given the way Boyd flourished in the AFC Championship Game without the chilli-loving TE.


Stafford (or Burrow) first pass to be incomplete @ $2.60 (+160)

The opening frame of the Super Bowl is typically a cagey situation, with each team feeling each other out. Further, there will be nerves and excitement as the occasion of the big game comes to the fore. A near miss or a dropped pass from the first attempt is understandable and actually predictable. You're welcome.


First QB to throw a touchdown pass - Joe Burrow @ $2.10 (+110)

When the game opens up, I expect Joe Cool to be the first one to throw a passing touchdown. This isn't a prediction for the final result, but more a reflection of how the Bengals have been playing in the postseason. It could be in the first, second or even third quarter, but I think that Burrow will be the one here.

 

So there we have it, the second part of some of my favourite picks for Super Bowl Sunday. If you want to parlay, make sure you capture each leg as a single separate bet. Otherwise, place your bets, enjoy the matches and be good to each other. If you have any questions, feel free to hit us up on social media.


Nii Wallace-Bruce
Pro Sports Podcasters
NFL Analyst

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